Scramble for Buni’s Successor Intensifies in Yobe as APC, Others Gear Up for Primaries
By Idris Baabba, Jakusko
Ahead of the rescheduled primary elections by political parties nationwide, political alignments and consultations among aspirants have gathered momentum in Yobe State, signaling the early onset of succession politics.
Despite the state’s reputation for calm and non-confrontational political culture, behind-the-scenes maneuverings have intensified as the April and May timelines set by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) draw closer.
Investigations reveal that aspirants across party lines are actively engaging stakeholders, traditional institutions, and community leaders in strategic consultations aimed at securing support.
However, the heat of the contest appears strongest within the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), where the race to succeed Governor Mai Mala Buni—who is completing his second term—has triggered intense political permutations.
Although no aspirant has made a formal declaration, several prominent figures have emerged in ongoing discussions. Among them are former Senate President Ahmad Lawan, Senator Ibrahim Mohammed Bomai, and Senator Musa Mustapha, who currently represent Yobe North, South, and East respectively in the National Assembly.
Other notable names being speculated include former Minister of Power Abubakar D. Aliyu, Secretary to the State Government Baba Malam Wali, development advocate Kashim Musa Tumsah, and Lawan Geidam.
Geidam Bloc Influence, Pressure Mounts on Buni
Political analysts describe the succession decision as complex, noting that Governor Buni faces mounting pressure amid competing interests.
Speculation is rife that he may lean towards the political bloc associated with former governor and current Minister of Police Affairs, Ibrahim Geidam.
Key figures believed to be favored within this bloc include Abubakar D. Aliyu, Senator Musa Mustapha, and Baba Malam Wali.
However, opposing views argue that Buni should prioritize broader state interests over political loyalty by supporting a neutral candidate capable of consolidating his administration’s achievements.
Analysts warn that continued alignment with entrenched political structures could undermine independent leadership and long-term development goals for the state.
Tumsah Emerges as “Outsider” Contender
Among the aspirants, Kashim Musa Tumsah stands out as the only figure largely outside the traditional political establishment.
Sources indicate that his potential candidacy is being driven by grassroots support, particularly from community leaders, women, and youth groups, citing his interventions in solar energy projects, water supply initiatives, and empowerment programmes targeting vulnerable populations.
Though he has yet to formally declare his ambition, Tumsah is reportedly engaged in consultations within and outside Yobe State.
His recent appearances alongside Governor Buni at official functions have further fueled speculations about his possible entry into the race.
Zoning Debate, Direct Primaries Gain Attention
Meanwhile, agitation for power rotation is gaining traction ahead of the 2027 elections, with calls for the governorship to shift from Yobe East, which has held power since 2009, to other senatorial zones in the interest of equity and political balance.
While proponents argue that zoning promotes fairness, critics contend it could limit democratic participation and be driven by narrow political interests.
Amid these developments, stakeholders are increasingly looking toward the provisions of the amended Electoral Act, particularly the option of direct primaries, as a pathway to ensuring transparency and credibility in candidate selection.
Observers believe that adopting direct primaries would allow party members to determine the flag bearer through popular support, thereby reducing internal disputes and strengthening democratic processes.
Stakeholders Face Critical Decision
With multiple interests at play and no clear frontrunner yet, the unfolding political scenario places Yobe’s stakeholders at a crucial crossroads.
Analysts emphasize that the ultimate decision must prioritize the welfare of the electorate and the continuity of development in the state.
As the primaries approach, all eyes remain on Governor Buni and key political actors whose decisions will shape the future leadership of Yobe State.
